By Matt Valley Loan production in the HUD Section 232 mortgage insurance program is running slightly behind last year’s pace through the first half of fiscal year (FY) 2024 due to two main factors: elevated interest rates and margin compression experienced by operators of skilled nursing and seniors housing facilities. But a growing deal pipeline will likely result in loan closings in FY 2024 surpassing last year’s total of $2.87 billion, says one seasoned lender. Michael Gehl, chief investment officer on the FHA lending team at NewPoint Real Estate Capital, …
From The Magazine
With operating fundamentals on the rise and demographics on their side, this growing group of investors in seniors housing believes the stars are aligned to achieve healthy returns. By Jane Adler While some longstanding private equity groups in seniors housing remain on the sidelines as they work through the operational challenges created by the COVID-19 pandemic, others are making investments in the sector. Fund managers are raising capital and seeking investment opportunities. New private equity players are emerging. And more private equity groups are entering into joint ventures and forging …
By Matt Valley What percentage of existing seniors housing loans are destined for trouble? An audience member posed that question during the closing session of the 2024 NIC Spring Conference in Dallas. The answer appears to be elusive. Titled “Capital Markets and Economic Update: Where We Have Been and Where We Are Going,” the March 7 session featured Joel Mendes, managing director at JLL, as panel moderator. Fellow participants included Jamie Cobb, chief financial officer at Columbia Pacific Advisors LLC; Doug Duncan, chief economist with Fannie Mae; and John Olympitis, …
Although 2023 was a down year for property sales, the seniors housing industry fared better than other real estate sectors, and many investors are already switching to ‘buy’ mode. By Jeff Shaw At first blush, 2023 looks like a bad year for seniors housing property sales. Total transaction volume fell 23 percent to $10.6 billion, the sector’s lowest mark in over a decade, according to data from MSCI Real Assets. “I’m not surprised to see transaction volume down from 2022,” says Kelly Sheehy, senior managing director of Artemis Real Estate …
After a series of national news articles portraying the worst aspects of seniors housing, owners and operators are developing best practices for handling negative media coverage. By Jeff Shaw The headlines are sensational, and they make the seniors housing industry look bad. Negative news about this burgeoning sector seems to be a go-to for national and local journalists. The most recent attack came via the Washington Post, which released a pair of articles on Dec. 17 that cast seniors housing in a negative light: • “Understaffed and Neglected: How Real …
The penetration rate remains stagnant, even as seniors housing becomes a more accepted asset class and more prospective residents understand its value. What’s the solution? By Jeff Shaw The seniors housing industry is currently experiencing something of a metrics renaissance. After surviving the brutal blow that was the COVID-19 pandemic, most of the base numbers have trended positive: • There have been 11 consecutive quarters of occupancy growth. • Rental rates saw dramatic increases over the past few years, with reportedly little pushback from residents. • New construction has remained …
By Matt Valley Until there is a greater sense of stability in the marketplace and clarity from the Federal Reserve on the timing and extent of interest rate cuts, underwriting deals will remain a challenge for lenders, believes Jason Clouet, vice president of Bayview Asset Management. “I think if we polled everybody in this room, half of you would say that we’re going to see a 200 basis points drop, and half of the room would say 50 basis points. There’s not real clarity right now as far as where …
As variable-rate loans reach their maturity, higher interest rates are making refinancing difficult — or impossible — and leading to distressed properties hitting the market. By Jeff Shaw The challenge is well known by now. Interest rates saw an unprecedented rise in the last two years. To combat inflation, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised the federal funds rate 11 times from near zero percent in March 2022 to a target range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent as of mid-January, leading to higher borrowing costs across the board in the seniors …
Prices are just beginning to stabilize after a 2022 wracked with catastrophes led to unprecedented rate increases. By Jeff Shaw As if things weren’t challenging enough for senior living owners… Expense increases have been a major contributor to shrinking profit margins in the seniors housing space since the COVID-19 pandemic struck in 2020. Whether it’s due to increased labor costs or rising construction costs, it seems like the “L” portion of the P&L keeps growing. We’ll add property insurance premiums to that list — 2022 was a devastating year for …
Capital Markets Panel Sees Light at the End of the Tunnel for Borrowers, But Challenges Persist
By Matt Valley The seniors housing industry is still reeling from the “triple whammy” that began with a deadly pandemic in early 2020, making 2024 a pivotal year for borrowers and lenders, says Ari Adlerstein, senior managing director with Meridian Capital Group. “We had COVID, then we had labor shortages, and now we have high interest rates. Folks that I’ve been doing business with for 13 years in my career who are really good operators and who run a great shop with tons of assets and lots of cash flow …